Potential Weekend Box Office Success of Deadpool & Wolverine compared to The Marvels

In 2024, the highly anticipated movie featuring Deadpool and Wolverine is expected to have the biggest box office opening. In just one weekend, it is projected to exceed the box office earnings of The Marvels.

The Marvel Cinematic Universe had a difficult year. It began with the release of Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania, which many consider to be the weakest MCU film to date.

Despite the success of Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3, The Marvels failed to meet expectations with a worldwide gross of just under $200 million, making it the lowest performing film in the franchise so far.

It is yet to be determined if Deadpool & Wolverine will be the saviors of the MCU, but it is likely to greatly benefit movie theaters.

The film is projected to earn $360 million globally during its opening weekend, surpassing The Marvels by $160 million. In the domestic market, it is anticipated to debut with $170 million, surpassing the $154 million opening weekend of Inside Out 2 earlier this year.

This would also surpass the record for the largest opening weekend for a movie with an R-rating. For comparison, Deadpool and Deadpool 2 debuted with approximately $300 million each, while Joker earned $234 million in its initial weekend.

Will Deadpool & Wolverine make $1 billion?

There is a major question surrounding whether Deadpool and Wolverine will surpass the $1 billion mark, as it ultimately relies on the film’s longevity in theaters.

When the movie is released in theaters, it will secure the majority of premium formats, meaning that Twisters in IMAX and other larger screens will no longer be available. The movie will dominate multiplexes for a minimum of two weeks, and its longevity will then be put to the test.

Despite experiencing a significant drop of over 75% after its opening weekend, Spider-Man: No Way Home, like most MCU movies, was still able to achieve a worldwide gross of nearly $2 billion.

Despite not reaching $1 billion, the first two Deadpool movies have the potential to achieve this milestone in the future. With the anticipation for the character’s appearance in the MCU, the return of Hugh Jackman as Wolverine, and the likelihood of various cameos, the upcoming Deadpool installment holds great promise.

Ahead of its July 25th release in cinemas, check out our review of Deadpool and Wolverine, our analysis of the Marvel movie timeline, the X-Men’s chronological order, and our list of the top superhero films.

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